Journan — Accueil

Mediterranean Geopolitics: A Shift in Alliances and Strategic Rivalries

The Mediterranean region is undergoing a strategic shift driven by energy competition and shifting military alignments. A core bloc consisting of Greece, Cyprus, and Israel, backed by U.S. support, formalized their cooperation on June 11, 2026, in Houston by launching the Eastern Mediterranean Energy Center (EMEC) to coordinate gas and electricity infrastructure.

In response, Turkey continues to advance its "Blue Homeland" doctrine. The ratification of the 2019 maritime memorandum by the Tobruk-based Libyan Parliament on October 20, 2026, signals Turkey's strengthened ties with the Haftar faction and a thaw in relations with Egypt. Additionally, Ankara has expanded its military influence in Syria and deepened defense agreements with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan.

Meanwhile, Israel is constructing a regional "alliance hexagon," partnering with nations including the UAE and India to maintain its strategic advantage. Egypt remains the central player in this balance, skillfully navigating between its energy-focused partnerships with Israel and Cyprus and its diplomatic rapprochement with Turkey. By maintaining this flexibility, Cairo seeks to protect its national security and regional leverage amidst intensifying competition.