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Western Sahara: Fears of Political Collapse and Military Escalation

A controversial US draft resolution on Western Sahara is facing backlash for promoting the Moroccan autonomy plan as the sole basis for negotiations, sidelining the Sahrawi right to self-determination. The Polisario Front has warned of a potential withdrawal from the political process, which could lead to a complete breakdown in talks. Furthermore, plans to scale back the MINURSO mission and convert it into a political entity raise concerns over the loss of oversight, potentially clearing the way for Moroccan expansion beyond the berm. Russia and China, having raised objections during the resolution 2797 vote, are pushing for significant amendments to maintain legal frameworks, warning that current US-led efforts risk destabilizing the entire region through military conflict and political polarization.